Central just ran this piece, which the Washington Post picked up on.
They claimed the US was “overwhelmingly hot” in 2016, and temperatures
have risen 1,5°F since the 19th century.
U.S. Has Been Overwhelmingly Hot This Year | Climate Central
first problem with their analysis is that the US had very
little hot weather in 2016. The percentage of hot days was
below average, and ranked 80th since 1895. Only 4.4% of days were
over 95°F, compared with the long term average of 4.9%. Climate
Central is conflating mild temperatures with hot ones.
also claim US temperatures rose 1.5°F since the 19th century, which
is what NOAA shows.
at a Glance | National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)
problem with the NOAA graph is that it is fake data.
NOAA creates the warming trend by altering the data. The NOAA raw
data shows no warming over the past century
adjustments being made are almost exactly 1.5°F, which is the claimed
warming in the article.
adjustments correlate almost perfectly with atmospheric CO2. NOAA is
adjusting the data to match global warming theory. This is known as PBEM
(Policy Based Evidence Making.)
hockey stick of adjustments since 1970 is due almost entirely to NOAA
fabricating missing station data. In 2016, more than 42% of their
monthly station data was missing, so they simply made it up. This is
easy to identify because they mark fabricated temperatures with an “E”
in their database.
presented with my claims of fraud, NOAA typically tries to arm wave it
away with these two complaints.
use gridded data and I am using un-gridded data.
“have to” adjust the data because of Time Of Observation Bias and
claims are easily debunked. The only effect that gridding has is to
lower temperatures slightly. The trend of gridded data is almost
identical to the trend of un-gridded data.
of Observation Bias (TOBS) is a real problem, but is very small. TOBS is
based on the idea that if you reset a min/max thermometer too close to
the afternoon maximum, you will double count warm temperatures (and
vice-versa if thermometer is reset in the morning.) Their claim is that
during the hot 1930’s most stations reset their thermometers in the
is easy to test by using only the stations which did not reset their
thermometers in the afternoon during the 1930’s. The pattern is almost
identical to that of all stations. No warming over the past century.
Note that the graph below tends to show too much warming due
to morning TOBS.
own documents show that the TOBS adjustment is small (0.3°F) and goes
flat after 1990.
Schmidt at NASA explains very clearly why the US temperature record does
not need to be adjusted.
could throw out 50 percent of the station data or more, and you’d get
basically the same answers.
recent innovation is the set up of a climate reference network
alongside the current stations so that they can look for potentially
serious issues at the large scale – and they haven’t found any yet.
– NASA Climatologist Gavin Schmidt Discusses the Surface Temperature
has always known that the US is not warming.
Data Since 1895 Fail To Show Warming Trend – NYTimes.com
of the claims in the Climate Central article are bogus. The US is not
warming and 2016 was not a hot year in the US. It was a very mild year.